Judas Maccabeus wrote: ↑Wed Jun 05, 2024 10:43 pm
Ken wrote: ↑Wed Jun 05, 2024 10:24 pm
Judas Maccabeus wrote: ↑Wed Jun 05, 2024 10:03 pm
No. It appears they knew, or should have known that this was from a “gain of function study” funded on the US taxpayers dime. There are no intermediate forms, and this appears to have arisen suddenly, with a unique feature that was under discussion.
That isn't at all what the NYT story you pointed us to says.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... =url-share
Try this
I have a NYT subscription. I read the article. I'm pointing out that the research wasn't funded on the US taxpayers dime. In fact, we don't even know if it even ever happened. From the article:
In 2021, The Intercept published a leaked 2018 grant proposal for a research project named Defuse, which had been written as a collaboration between EcoHealth, the Wuhan institute and Ralph Baric at the University of North Carolina, who had been on the cutting edge of coronavirus research for years. The proposal described plans to create viruses strikingly similar to SARS‑CoV‑2.
So there was a grant proposal in 2018 that proposed to create viruses similar to COVID
Coronaviruses bear their name because their surface is studded with protein spikes, like a spiky crown, which they use to enter animal cells. The Defuse project proposed to search for and create SARS-like viruses carrying spikes with a unique feature: a furin cleavage site — the same feature that enhances SARS‑CoV‑2’s infectiousness in humans, making it capable of causing a pandemic. Defuse was never funded by the United States. However, in his testimony on Monday, Dr. Fauci explained that the Wuhan institute would not need to rely on U.S. funding to pursue research independently.
It was never funded by the US and they wouldn't have needed US funding anyway
Ultimately, a never-before-seen SARS-like virus with a newly introduced furin cleavage site, matching the description in the Wuhan institute’s Defuse proposal, caused an outbreak in Wuhan less than two years after the proposal was drafted.
When the Wuhan scientists published their seminal paper about Covid-19 as the pandemic roared to life in 2020, they did not mention the virus’s furin cleavage site — a feature they should have been on the lookout for, according to their own grant proposal, and a feature quickly recognized by other scientists.
When the COVID outbreak started the virus looked similar to what was proposed in 2018. But again, it was a grant proposal that was never funded by the US and we don't know if the Chinese actually pursued the research on their own. That is just speculation.
Worse still, as the pandemic raged, their American collaborators failed to publicly reveal the existence of the Defuse proposal. The president of EcoHealth, Peter Daszak, recently admitted to Congress that he doesn’t know about virus samples collected by the Wuhan institute after 2015 and never asked the lab’s scientists if they had started the work described in Defuse. In May, citing failures in EcoHealth’s monitoring of risky experiments conducted at the Wuhan lab, the Biden administration suspended all federal funding for the organization and Dr. Daszak, and initiated proceedings to bar them from receiving future grants. In his testimony on Monday, Dr. Fauci said that he supported the decision to suspend and bar EcoHealth.
So nobody still knows if the Defuse proposal was ever funded or undertaken by the Chinese. All we know is that if it did proceed, the US did not play a role.
Separately, Dr. Baric described the competitive dynamic between his research group and the institute when he told Congress that the Wuhan scientists would probably not have shared their most interesting newly discovered viruses with him. Documents and email correspondence between the institute and Dr. Baric are still being withheld from the public while their release is fiercely contested in litigation.
In the end, American partners very likely knew of only a fraction of the research done in Wuhan. According to U.S. intelligence sources, some of the institute’s virus research was classified or conducted with or on behalf of the Chinese military. In the congressional hearing on Monday, Dr. Fauci repeatedly acknowledged the lack of visibility into experiments conducted at the Wuhan institute, saying, “None of us can know everything that’s going on in China, or in Wuhan, or what have you. And that’s the reason why — I say today, and I’ve said at the T.I.,” referring to his transcribed interview with the subcommittee, “I keep an open mind as to what the origin is.”
In the end, no one actually knows what kind of secret research was conducted in China under the auspices of the Chinese military. We do know whatever it was, it was kept secret from the US and US researchers.
None of that tells me that COVID came from gain of function research funded by the US. It speculates that such research happened (without proof) but states unequivocally that the US was not involved.
Skipping down to the bottom of the article, we find
The pandemic could have been caused by any of hundreds of virus species, at any of tens of thousands of wildlife markets, in any of thousands of cities, and in any year. But it was a SARS-like coronavirus with a unique furin cleavage site that emerged in Wuhan, less than two years after scientists, sometimes working under inadequate biosafety conditions, proposed collecting and creating viruses of that same design.
While several natural spillover scenarios remain plausible, and we still don’t know enough about the full extent of virus research conducted at the Wuhan institute by Dr. Shi’s team and other researchers, a laboratory accident is the most parsimonious explanation of how the pandemic began.
So again, there was a proposal back in 2018 that wasn't funded by the US and we have no idea whether the Chinese pursued it on their own. That is a lot of speculation. Maybe it was, indeed the origin of COVID. But as the article points out. We just don't know. The best the author can do is say that if such research actually occurred, then a lab accident would be the most "parsimonious explanation" of how the pandemic began.
Bottom line? The author lays out a plausible scenario for how a lab accident *could* have been the origin of the COVID pandemic. Assuming that certain secret research was undertaken by the Chinese. But there is no actual evidence that any of that happened.
I am still mystified by the obsession over this subject on the right. I'm not actually sure what argument they are trying to make. As far as I'm concerned, the natural origin theory is BY FAR the more terrifying. It means that the conditions for the next pandemic exist everywhere in the world where wild Animals are part of the human food supply. China, elsewhere in Asia, Africa, Brazil, Central America, etc. etc. It is infinitely easier to correct some lab and research procedures than to make wholesale changes to the worldwide food supply in dozens of countries around the world.