nett wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 2:50 pm
Ken wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 11:37 am
Yes, given human behavior they are probably the best way. Not the only way. We could completely end the pandemic in 2 weeks if everyone just acted responsibly, isolated and didn’t spread the disease to anyone else. It would completely die out that fast. But since that isn’t happening vaccines are the next best solution.
I never thought they were 100% effective and neither did anyone else. Back in 2020 when they were still under development scientists were hoping or 60-70% effectiveness. Most of the vaccines have exceeded original expectations.
My whole family is vaccinated and we are all out working in jobs with lots of contact with the public. None of us have caught Covid. So it seems to be working for us. If they end up needing to make a new booster for omicron variant or any additional variants I’ll happily take that too. It is a trivial hassle. I’ve taken dozens of different vaccines since I was an infant in the 1960s. That is just a part of life in the modern world. There are probably a thousand different things in my life that are a bigger hassle than the possibility of having to get an occasional vaccine or booster.
Ok, so I think you mentioned 80% as a target at which vaccination really makes a difference.
What do you think countries like Denmark are doing wrong? They are highly vaccinated but are yet again dealing with COVID in a serious way, with cases at an all time high, and deaths and hospitalization on the rise. And we have no idea what omicron will look like there.
Knowing that it is not logistically possible to get to 100% vaccination, Why are we still seeing these outbreaks?
Honestly, when I’m not on here I don’t really follow this stuff at all. So I have no idea what is happening at any moment in any random country like Denmark. I sometimes keep an eye on Covid stats for the county in which we live, and for the counties where I have lots of family. But that is about it.
One point I would make is that vaccinations are not uniform anywhere. Not in Denmark or anywhere else. They are very patchy. So they might be 90% in one sub population and 25% in another sub population. So even in highly vaccinated locations there are probably still plenty of subgroups and sub populations with low vaccination rates who are vulnerable and where outbreaks can take hold. So without doing a deep dive on Denmark, which I’m not going to bother to do, I would suspect that is the likely phenomenon you are seeing.
For example, here in Clark County WA we had several measles outbreaks a few years ago even though the measles vaccination rate was very high. That was because we had sub populations of Russian and Ukrainian immigrants who had very low vaccination rates and since they were tight knit communities attending the same schools, churches, and frequenting the same shops and restaurants the outbreak spread even though the general population was highly vaccinated. The same thing happened a couple years ago in tightly knit Hasidic Jewish communities with low vaccination rates.
I expect the same thing is happening to some extent in countries like Israel that have relatively high vaccination rates but still get outbreaks. Israel has a very patchy population that is not at all uniform. It is actually many many sub populations that live their lives more or less in separate bubbles.