Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Events occurring and how they relate/affect Anabaptist faith and culture.
Grace
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Post by Grace »

=GaryK post_id=186722 time=1679344051 user_id=327]



This is what puzzles me...
The Federal Elections Commission (FEC) has closed its investigation into whether former President Trump illegally made hush money payments to women prior to the 2016 election.

The FEC voted 4-1 to close the inquiry after failing to find that Trump or his campaign “knowingly and willfully” violated campaign finance law when his former attorney Michael Cohen paid $130,000 to porn star Stormy Daniels to keep her from disclosing an alleged affair.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5 ... -payments/
Has something changed?
Thanks for the link, Gary. I have the same question, what changed?

We will have to wait for Ken to answer the question with sanctimony and maybe a graph or two.
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Josh
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Post by Josh »

Bootstrap wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:31 pm
Josh wrote: Sun Mar 19, 2023 9:33 am Arresting your political foes is what third world banana republics do.
So therefore Trump is never guilty of anything and must never be held responsible. Like a banana republic.

Or perhaps ... if he is arrested, there will be a trial, and we will see how good the evidence is. Like a first world country. We can keep repeating this forever, but you don't ever seem to answer the question: how can a leader be held accountable for anything under your proposed rules? What rules do you propose?
We have a process in the Constitution for impeachment. They happened to Trump twice, and he wasn’t convicted.

Your idea that “rule of law” means Democrats endlessly engage in lawfare against Republican ex-Presidents is precisely not the rule of law. It is indeed politicising prosecutions which should be impartial.

There should be a lot of other priorities than whatever Trump was doing 6 years ago.
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Grace
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Post by Grace »

appleman2006 wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:04 pm
If Trump is guilty of trying to bribe Stormy Daniels (which is illegal) shouldn’t he be held accountable?
Only if in fact any ordinary person would be charged for the same offence. Which is unlikly at least by this prosecutor who would not even prosecute a person for the alleged crime that Trump was offering bribes about.
For the record I think your former president while relatively effective in his former office is a sleaze bag. But I am not sure why so many are interested in a former president that has possibly committed some relatively minor crimes when it is becoming quite evident that you have a present president that is just as much a sleaze bag and has crimes hanging over his head of considerably bigger significance right now.
In summary I do not understand anyone that would think Trump should have another run but if you think President Biden is any better you really have no credibility whatsoever. And before you use the argument that the reason you spend so much time knocking President Trump is because so many professing Christians support him…… Nope not buying it as the same could be said about the many professing Christians that support Biden.

I am guessing you agree that your country is really, really messed up right now. God help us all.
Agreed. Trump was and probably still is a sleaze bag with adult women. Biden, on the other hand, loves those little girls.
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Josh
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

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And it would be bad for the country and our future if the next Republicans who gain control focused their energy and attention on prosecuting the Biden family.

If this sort of “lawfare” continues, that is exactly what will happen.
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Bootstrap
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Post by Bootstrap »

Josh wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:41 pm We have a process in the Constitution for impeachment. They happened to Trump twice, and he wasn’t convicted.
And therefore, he can never be charged with a crime?

That's not the American legal system. Never was. We keep going around in circles, but you have no serious proposal here, why should we suspend the American legal system for Donald Trump? Why should he never have to testify even once for the many things where there's plausible reason to suspect serious wrongdoing?
Josh wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:41 pmYour idea that “rule of law” means Democrats endlessly engage in lawfare against Republican ex-Presidents is precisely not the rule of law. It is indeed politicising prosecutions which should be impartial.
That's why we have trials. Juries. Evidence. That's how the law works.

My idea of the rule of law has nothing to do with Democrats or Republicans or culture wars.
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Bootstrap
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Post by Bootstrap »

=GaryK post_id=186722 time=1679344051 user_id=327]
This is what puzzles me...
The Federal Elections Commission (FEC) has closed its investigation into whether former President Trump illegally made hush money payments to women prior to the 2016 election.

The FEC voted 4-1 to close the inquiry after failing to find that Trump or his campaign “knowingly and willfully” violated campaign finance law when his former attorney Michael Cohen paid $130,000 to porn star Stormy Daniels to keep her from disclosing an alleged affair.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5 ... -payments/
Has something changed?
Answer: Possibly, we don't really know. We don't know what the Southern District of New York has found. We don't know if Donald Trump will be indicted. If he will be, we don't know exactly what the charges will be or what the evidence will be for those charges.

Question: When we know all these things, will that change the conversation? Or is everything so baked-in along partisan political lines that facts don't matter?
Last edited by Bootstrap on Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Ken
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Post by Ken »

GaryK wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:27 pm
Ken wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:20 pm
GaryK wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:17 pm
Wouldn't this be considered a federal crime since it had to do with a federal election? Why aren't the feds pursuing this?
Potentially they could. There are parallel campaign finance laws at both the state and federal level. But remember, presidential elections are really 50 state-level elections administered by 50 different states. The federal part doesn't really come in until the electoral college meets in DC. Most campaign finance related law is state law. Most of the lawsuits Trump filed after the 2020 election were in state courts.

So states play a very big role in presidential elections. That is how we do elections. And it is entirely appropriate for state prosecutors to get involved.
This is what puzzles me...
The Federal Elections Commission (FEC) has closed its investigation into whether former President Trump illegally made hush money payments to women prior to the 2016 election.

The FEC voted 4-1 to close the inquiry after failing to find that Trump or his campaign “knowingly and willfully” violated campaign finance law when his former attorney Michael Cohen paid $130,000 to porn star Stormy Daniels to keep her from disclosing an alleged affair.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5 ... -payments/

Has something changed?
The FEC does not have prosecutorial or subpoena powers. All they can do is basically look at paperwork. It is an agency that is split 2 to 2 between Republicans and Democrats and were deadlocked 2 to 2 over this issue. If there was going to be an actual prosecution in federal court it would have come from the US Attorney in the Southern District of NY which would have had jurisdiction under Federal law. The US attorney there (Geoffrey Berman) was a Trump appointee until 2021 which perhaps explains in part why they weren't as aggressive as they could have been in pursuing Trump.
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Ken
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

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Josh wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:49 pm And it would be bad for the country and our future if the next Republicans who gain control focused their energy and attention on prosecuting the Biden family.

If this sort of “lawfare” continues, that is exactly what will happen.
I thought the current GOP House was already busy investigating Biden. Did I miss something?

If Biden committed any crimes he should, indeed be prosecuted.
Last edited by Ken on Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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appleman2006
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Post by appleman2006 »

Ken wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:15 pm
appleman2006 wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:04 pm If Trump is guilty of trying to bribe Stormy Daniels (which is illegal) shouldn’t he be held accountable?
Only if in fact any ordinary person would be charged for the same offence. Which is unlikly at least by this prosecutor who would not even prosecute a person for the alleged crime that Trump was offering bribes about.
You are wrong in your description of the case on several counts.

The crime isn't bribery. It is that the payment constituted an illegal unreported campaign contribution. Since the Trump campaign directly benefitted from the cover-up and its only purpose was to further the Trump campaign. Trump's involvement is that he illegally reimbursed Michael Cohen for making the Stormy Daniel hush money payment by using business accounts and illegally writing it off as a business expense. And he also implicated himself by reimbursing Cohen in the first place. A universal principal of criminal law is that if you pay someone to break the law you are just as culpable of the crime as they are.

And ordinary people do get convicted of this crime. Trump's attorney and "handler" Michael Cohen was, in fact, convicted of this actual offense in this very same case and served a 3-year sentence. Well, he served the last part under house arrest rather than prison due to COVID.

And many other US politicians and prominent people have also been convicted and served time for the same exact thing. I provided a partial list upstream. Poor people tend not to get convicted for campaign finance violations for the obvious reason that poor people generally do not make big illegal campaign contributions.
Just to be clear. I am not defending Trump. I just find it interesting that after all the tries they have had at Trump an obscure prosecutor who is on record as refusing to prosecute many clearcut cases is going after Trump on this and you guys think he actually cares about the law.
I do not like Trump. Never have and if this is what keeps him from running again so be it. I think that is great. What is not great is the fact that there are a few of you that I have now heard take every opportunity to jump on Trump for at least 7 years and yet you do not seem to ever have anything negative to say about an at least equally corrupt Democrat President who is in power right now. That imo makes all of your logic suspect.

Trump - brash, liar, mean, self-indulgent, bad communicator, bad money manager, sore loser. on the positive side - world became a more peaceful place while he was in power. economy did quite well while he was in power. was a surprisingly good debater, and IMO the biggest one. Those who held differing religious views from the mainstream felt relatively safe under his presidency.
Biden - ineffective, liar, hateful to those he disagrees with, the worst communicator of any president in my lifetime by far, warmonger, has been largely responsible for the worst economic downturn in almost 100 years, has the most ineffective administration I have ever seen in my lifetime, think VP, transportation, minister, head of treasury, ..... people holding different religious views feel very unsafe and threatened, still does not allow the unvaccinated into your country even though they might be the only country left to do so, Positives - he has a nice vacation home, and probably a few others.
my point. You guys make banana republics look good. :P :D
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Ken
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Re: Is Trump getting arrested on Tuesday?

Post by Ken »

appleman2006 wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:55 pm
Ken wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:15 pm
appleman2006 wrote: Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:04 pm If Trump is guilty of trying to bribe Stormy Daniels (which is illegal) shouldn’t he be held accountable?
Only if in fact any ordinary person would be charged for the same offence. Which is unlikly at least by this prosecutor who would not even prosecute a person for the alleged crime that Trump was offering bribes about.
You are wrong in your description of the case on several counts.

The crime isn't bribery. It is that the payment constituted an illegal unreported campaign contribution. Since the Trump campaign directly benefitted from the cover-up and its only purpose was to further the Trump campaign. Trump's involvement is that he illegally reimbursed Michael Cohen for making the Stormy Daniel hush money payment by using business accounts and illegally writing it off as a business expense. And he also implicated himself by reimbursing Cohen in the first place. A universal principal of criminal law is that if you pay someone to break the law you are just as culpable of the crime as they are.

And ordinary people do get convicted of this crime. Trump's attorney and "handler" Michael Cohen was, in fact, convicted of this actual offense in this very same case and served a 3-year sentence. Well, he served the last part under house arrest rather than prison due to COVID.

And many other US politicians and prominent people have also been convicted and served time for the same exact thing. I provided a partial list upstream. Poor people tend not to get convicted for campaign finance violations for the obvious reason that poor people generally do not make big illegal campaign contributions.
Just to be clear. I am not defending Trump. I just find it interesting that after all the tries they have had at Trump an obscure prosecutor who is on record as refusing to prosecute many clearcut cases is going after Trump on this and you guys think he actually cares about the law.
I do not like Trump. Never have and if this is what keeps him from running again so be it. I think that is great. What is not great is the fact that there are a few of you that I have now heard take every opportunity to jump on Trump for at least 7 years and yet you do not seem to ever have anything negative to say about an at least equally corrupt Democrat President who is in power right now. That imo makes all of your logic suspect.

Trump - brash, liar, mean, self-indulgent, bad communicator, bad money manager, sore loser. on the positive side - world became a more peaceful place while he was in power. economy did quite well while he was in power. was a surprisingly good debater, and IMO the biggest one. Those who held differing religious views from the mainstream felt relatively safe under his presidency.
Biden - ineffective, liar, hateful to those he disagrees with, the worst communicator of any president in my lifetime by far, warmonger, has been largely responsible for the worst economic downturn in almost 100 years, has the most ineffective administration I have ever seen in my lifetime, think VP, transportation, minister, head of treasury, ..... people holding different religious views feel very unsafe and threatened, still does not allow the unvaccinated into your country even though they might be the only country left to do so, Positives - he has a nice vacation home, and probably a few others.
my point. You guys make banana republics look good. :P :D
There is no inconsistency. Trump should be prosecuted for any crimes that he committed. And Biden should be prosecuted for any crimes that he committed.

As for the rest of it? That is why we have elections.

You have your own mini-Trump up there in Ontario in the form of Doug Ford. And it seems Trudeau isn't very popular either. Glass houses and all.
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