JimFoxvog wrote: ↑Wed Aug 04, 2021 7:40 am
temporal1 wrote: ↑Sat Jul 31, 2021 6:06 pm
**Truck drivers.
A few years ago, a young father with an adopted 10 year old told me he was worried about his son’s future work opportunities.
He stated, truck drivers were predicted to become OBSOLETE. (He, the father, was-is a senior computer programmer.)
Presently, truck drivers seem to have abundant employment and pay opportunities.
In a decade, self-driving trucks could become the norm. They might well be safer and better behaved. The current shortage of truck drivers could speed up this prediction. I think it mostly depends on the economy, which I think is unpredictable.
Machines, robots, and automation still require people to manage them. They may replace some lesser-skilled labor, but high-skilled labor will increasingly be in hot demand. In my business, as we have implemented technology, it has probably saved some labor, or at least made the job of some positions much easier, but at the same time it has made certain other jobs with higher skill level invaluable. For example cashiers have a much easier job when you implement a POS system, but it makes them much more replaceable as a new person can be trained much more quickly because of ease of use for the end user. Not so the backroom staff which are trained to program the system. Those folks become much more valuable and much harder to replace because of the complexity of the system they must be trained to operate.
So truck drivers may be out of a job but if they are willing to learn and adapt there will still be good jobs available in the trucking industry. I actually find it really hard to imagine that self-driving trucks will ever become anything more than a small sector of the industry. There's no way a self-driving semi truck and trailer can turn itself around in my parking lot and back up in tight spaces to a spot where we unload them, in all traffic and weather conditions. There's just no way. Maybe it would work for transporting goods from one distribution center to another on major highways only, and even then it seems like a human driver would be needed for eventualities on the road, to dock and load/unload and switch trailers and many other things. But for many trucking situations such as last mile deliveries to small businesses there is literally no way to accomplish the job without a human at the wheel.
What on earth will happen when an unattended self driving semi truck gets disabled on the road a thousand miles away from its company or destination? Can you imagine the frustration for local authorities when these things happen, as they most certainly will.