Josh wrote: ↑Tue Oct 10, 2023 11:13 am
Bootstrap wrote: ↑Tue Oct 10, 2023 9:51 am
I think Israel's confidence in a military solution is probably unwarranted. They have been trying precisely this approach since 1948, and it hasn't brought peace so far. After 75 years of trying an approach that isn't working, maybe try win-win diplomacy?
Well, the U.S. isn't a neighbour and Russia wasn't either, although some of the USSR's satellite states were, but through mountains that are difficult to get past. Whereas Gaza and Israel is much like Rhode Island and Massachusetts. There is no natural division between the two places.
Even with neighbors, military insurgencies can last a very long time, and sometimes win, against much greater military powers. The Kurdish Peshmerga still has not been conquered, despite the best efforts of Saddam Hussein and ISIS. FARC (Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia) eventually forced the Columbian government to negotiate a peace agreement with them. The Algerian National Liberation Front beat the French colonial forces and founded Algeria.
I don't think Saddam Hussein or the Columbian government were pulling any punches.
Josh wrote: ↑Tue Oct 10, 2023 11:13 amA "military solution" could allow them to conduct an occupation or brutally crush Hamas, but it's pretty hard to run long-term occupations of a city of 2 million people.
And when Israel destroys the Palestine Tower, that's a lot like destroying the Twin Towers in New York. I bet Hamas is now eyeing some towers in Israel - I don't know if they could pull it off, but when I saw the attack on the Palestine Tower, that's the first thing I wondered. An eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth leaves everyone blind and toothless.
Josh wrote: ↑Tue Oct 10, 2023 11:13 amWin-win diplomacy sounds good - but Hamas doesn't seem very willing to do that, and Israel's approach seems to be to create bantustans like they did in the West Bank. Unfortunately, there isn't a reasonable outcome unless
both sides are willing to lay their arms down and find ways to coexist peacefully.
I don't think the international community or Israel would accept Hamas as the negotiating party. But Palestinians do need representation in negotiations. Ideally, Palestine should be allowed to form a government that can negotiate, but even that requires negotiation. I don't know if it's possible to get there from here, but it's possible to pray.
Saudi Arabia has not yet signed on to the Abraham Accords, and Palestine is a big sticking point for them. I would LOVE to see a solution that brings Saudi Arabia in and provides representation and security for Palestine, together with security for Israel. Again, I can only pray.
Josh wrote: ↑Tue Oct 10, 2023 11:13 amFor what it's worth, many Arab Catholics live quite peacefully in Israel proper and don't cause trouble. They also are treated like second class citizens, unfortunately. But it would be good if the rest of the Palestinians moved more in that direction.
I have really enjoyed reading a book and listening to many lectures by
Elias Chacour.