US Attacks Iran 2026

Things that are not part of politics happening presently and how we approach or address it as Anabaptists.
Bootstrap
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by Bootstrap »

Robert wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 7:19 pm Grok:
I asked OpenAI to evaluate this message, and here's what it said. I have read quite a few detailed articles on JCPOA and listened to long-form podcasts about JCPOA, my understanding aligns with what you see below.
Grok’s answer sounds detailed, but it has some important problems and misleading framing:
Core Framing Problems
  • Mixes two different time periods
    • Before 2015 (no deal) vs. after 2015 (JCPOA rules in place)
    • This muddies the real question: did Iran comply with the deal while it existed?
  • Blurs “suspicion” and “proof”
    • Raises concerns and criticisms as if they are confirmed violations
    • Those are not the same thing
Pre-JCPOA (Before 2015)
  • Yes, Iran had a bad track record
    • Hid facilities (e.g., Fordow)
    • Limited cooperation with inspectors
  • But key point often missed
    • The IAEA (UN nuclear watchdog) did NOT find diversion of declared nuclear material into weapons
  • PMD issue is overstated
    • “Possible Military Dimensions” = past weapons-related research
    • IAEA conclusion:
      • Mostly stopped in 2003
      • No active weapons program during Obama years
JCPOA Period (2016–2017)
  • This is the central issue—and Grok downplays it
    • IAEA repeatedly verified:
      • Uranium limits followed
      • Centrifuge limits followed
      • Inspections allowed
  • In plain terms
    • Under the deal, Iran was meeting the rules it agreed to
“Caveats” Section Problems
  • Uses partisan or unclear sources without context
    • FDD (Foundation for Defense of Democracies):
      • Washington think tank
      • Strong anti-Iran, pro-sanctions stance
      • Not a neutral or consensus source
  • Presents minor issues as major concerns
    • Example: small heavy water overages
    • Iran reported them and corrected them
    • That is not covert cheating
  • Military site access criticism is misleading
    • JCPOA allowed access through a process, not automatic entry
    • That process was never triggered
    • So claims of “denied access” are speculative
Misleading Conclusion
  • “They were hiding and lying” goes beyond the evidence
    • Accurate:
      • Past concealment
      • Incomplete transparency historically
    • Not supported:
      • Active cheating during the JCPOA period (2016–2017)
Bottom Line
  • Before 2015:
    • Real violations and mistrust
  • During the deal:
    • Verified compliance under strict monitoring
  • Real debate:
    • Whether the deal was strong enough—not whether Iran was clearly cheating during it
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Jazman
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by Jazman »

Robert wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 6:28 pm
mike wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 2:44 pm
JohnH wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 1:06 pm

I have interpreted this to mean that a "civilisation" that seems to be entirely based around running a mafia-like entity that has its stated goal to exterminate the state of Israel (based on some mission from God), develop nuclear weapons, missiles, and drones, and brutally suppresses any dissent.

Eventually, other civilisations aren't going to like such a civilisation and will get rid of. Iran decided to spend last night raining down destruction on Saudi Arabia.
I believe that he means wiping out the Iranian government, not Iranian civilization. Seems like it would benefit the President to clearly say that. To say that the US is going to wipe out a civilization is really something. We should be praying for peace today, and for the success of negotiations.
Art of the Deal in action. Big ask and then he backs away and lets the other side feel they got something when he gets everything he wanted to start with.

Again, I do not agree with it, but it is what it is.
Well... I and others disagree... I see with my eyes/ears evidence of senility, wickedness, sadism, impatience, sociopathic narcissism or maybe the kind of thing Jesus healed people of in the NT, the one that starts with "possessed..."
"Art of the Deal'? Nah; that's far too benign to describe what's happening.
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JohnH
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by JohnH »

Jazman wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 8:37 pm Well... I and others disagree... I see with my eyes/ears evidence of senility, wickedness, sadism, impatience, sociopathic narcissism or maybe the kind of thing Jesus healed people of in the NT, the one that starts with "possessed..."
"Art of the Deal'? Nah; that's far too benign to describe what's happening.
Have you missed the part where Trump has negotiated his way into a ceasefire?

Although a missile just hit Tel Aviv. So maybe Iran won't keep up their part of a ceasefire. Israel agreed to the ceasefire.
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Southerner
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by Southerner »

JohnH wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 8:41 pm
Jazman wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 8:37 pm Well... I and others disagree... I see with my eyes/ears evidence of senility, wickedness, sadism, impatience, sociopathic narcissism or maybe the kind of thing Jesus healed people of in the NT, the one that starts with "possessed..."
"Art of the Deal'? Nah; that's far too benign to describe what's happening.
Have you missed the part where Trump has negotiated his way into a ceasefire?
Sort of, which Iranian official has he negotiated a ceasefire with?
I understand that he is in talks with the Pakistani prime minister...beyond that, who? Please tell me.
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Southerner
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by Southerner »

JohnH wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 8:41 pm
Although a missile just hit Tel Aviv.
Maybe
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mike
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by mike »

I guess we learn who the administration has been negotiating with; it's the foreign minister. I wonder how he has his authority. Maybe he is the most senior member of the government still alive and able to negotiate. It will be interesting to see if the IRGC is subordinate to him.

Image


Israel and Hezbollah to honor the 2-week ceasefire as well.



Peace talks Friday.



But a lot depends on whether the strait is 'opened,' whatever that means.



And whether Iran actually follows the ceasefire, which was in question immediately after the announcement.



Pressure put on Iran by China might have led them to blink per NYT.



Stock futures up over 900 points as of this moment; oil prices down 14%.
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Ernie
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by Ernie »

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/us/p ... efire.html
It was only a little more than five weeks ago that Mr. Trump was urging the Iranian people to rise up and overthrow their government. Now he is doing business with that government. On Tuesday he repeated his claim that the new Supreme Leader is part of a generation of “different, smarter, and less radicalized” leaders. American intelligence agencies have their doubts.
The whiplash is incredible.
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Robert
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by Robert »

Ernie wrote: ↑Tue Apr 07, 2026 10:00 pm https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/us/p ... efire.html
It was only a little more than five weeks ago that Mr. Trump was urging the Iranian people to rise up and overthrow their government. Now he is doing business with that government. On Tuesday he repeated his claim that the new Supreme Leader is part of a generation of “different, smarter, and less radicalized” leaders. American intelligence agencies have their doubts.
The whiplash is incredible.
Art of the Deal.
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Robert
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by Robert »

Grok’s answer sounds detailed, but it has some important problems and misleading framing:
Forgot that point hat Iran has refined enough uranium to build 10+ bombs. They had missiles that could reach Europe but kept that hidden.

Iran leadership are Twelvers. I do not think they will stop. They are very focused on bringing the return of the 12th Imam. Everything they do is to serve this purpose. Feel free to trust them. I do not.

They are like MAGA on steroids'. If you are concerned about MAGA, then one would be even more concerned with Twelvers.
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Robert
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Re: US Attacks Iran 2026

Post by Robert »

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202604086527
Iran includes enrichment in Farsi ceasefire plan - AP
1 hour ago

Iran’s Farsi-language version of its ceasefire proposal includes “acceptance of enrichment,” a provision not present in English versions, the Associated Press reported on Tuesday, highlighting discrepancies in how Tehran is presenting its terms.
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